Tuesday, December 28, 2010

Portland Case Shiller: Index Dips Again to Spring 2005 Levels, Off 23.5% from July 2007 Peak, and Off 5.2% in Last Year.

National PR is HERE:
[October data] ..show a deceleration in the annual growth rates in 18 of the 20 MSAs and the 10- and 20-City Composites in October compared to what was reported for September 2010. The 10-City Composite was up only 0.2% and the 20-City Composite fell 0.8% from their levels in October 2009. Home prices decreased in all 20 MSAs and both Composites in October from their September levels. In October, only the 10-City Composite and four MSAs – Los Angeles, San Diego, San Francisco and Washington DC – showed year-over-year gains. While the composite housing prices are still above their spring 2009 lows, six markets – Atlanta, Charlotte, Miami, Portland (OR), Seattle and Tampa – hit their lowest levels since home prices started to fall in 2006 and 2007, meaning that average home prices in those markets have fallen beyond the recent lows seen in most other markets in the spring of 2009.
Portland: Annual and Monthly Changes Continue Negative; Index Plummets to New 2010 Low, Reaching Spring 2005 Levels.

Annual: The Portland index value of 142.16 for October is a 5.2% decrease from October 2009 , and follows a 3.6% annual decrease from the September 2009 index value, a 2.3 % decrease from the August 2009 index value, and a 1.2% annual decline from July. 

Monthly: The Portland October  index shows a 1.48% decrease from September, a 1.85% decrease from August, and an August index that was a .88% decrease from July.

Historical: As of October 2010 the Portland home price index had declined 23.5 % from the July 2007 peak; and is now 1% BELOW the previous 2010 low in March; and is down 3.5% since January. The last time the Portland CS index was near 142.16 was in April and May of 2005 when the values were 141.14 in April and 144.36 in May.

Table below shows Portland changes by month for last year:

Month Index Change From July 2007 Peak Change Prior Month Change Prior Year Change March 2010 Low
October 2010 142.16 -23.5% -1.48% -5.2% -1.0%
September 2010 144.30 -22.3% -1.85% -3.6% 0.5%
August 2010 147.02 -20.9% -0.88% -2.3% 2.4%
July 2010 148.33 -20.1% -0.27% -1.2% 3.3%
June 2010 148.73 -20.3% 0.51% 0.2% 3.6%
May 2010 147.98 -20.7% 1.18% 0.69% 3.0%
April 2010 146.25 -21.6% 1.84% -0.4% 1.8%
March 2010 143.61 -23.0% -0.06% -2.8% 0.0%
February 2010 143.69 -23.0% -2.44% -4.8% 0.1%
January 2010 147.29 -21.0% -1.77% -4.2% 2.6%
December 2009 149.95 -19.6% -0.29% -5.4% 4.4%
November 2009 150.38 -19.4% 0.33% -7.5% 4.7%
October 2009 149.88 -19.6% 0.11% -9.9% 4.4%

Originally created and posted on the Oregon Housing Blog.

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