3 County PDX 2010-2020: Of 37,000+ Annual Job Openings, 60% Will be In Jobs with Average Pay Less than 60% MFI.

I have created a new Excel SkyDrive workbook HERE (and embedded below) that includes counts of 2010 jobs and average wages and projected 2010-2020 job openings and average wages for 791,000 jobs (and 600+ occupations) in Clackamas, Multnomah and Washington counties.  

In addition to including both individual worksheets previously posted for Clackamas and the combined Multnomah and Washington county workforce areas, I also included a simple summary sheet that is the default view when the file is opened. That summary shows:

1. 57% of 791,000+ 2010 jobs had average wages at or below 60% of 2010 HUD Median Family Income. (HUD 2010 Median Family Income was $71,200, so the 60% MFI threshold was $42,720 or $20.54 per hour)
2. 60% of 37,000+ annual job openings from 2010-2020 are for jobs with 2010 average wages at or below 60% of 2010 HUD Median Family Income.       

Originally created and posted on the Oregon Housing Blog. 
        

2010-2020 Multnomah/Washington Job Openings: 59% Will be in Jobs with Average Pay That Is Less than 60% of Median Family Income.

Readers will recall my prior post HERE showing that 66% of projected job openings in Clackamas County from 2010-2020 were projected to be for occupations where average salaries were below 2010 60% median family income.(HUD 2010 median family income was $71,200, so the 60% MFI threshold was $42,720 or $20.54 per hour)

I replicated the same analysis for the Washington and Multnomah Workforce area; my observations:

1. In 2010, 56% of jobs in Multnomah and Clackamas County had average wages of 60% or less of 2010 HUD median family income.
2. From 2010-2020 of the 30,866 projected annual job openings (new jobs or replacement of current workers) 18,132 (59%) will be for jobs that had 2010 average wages at or below 60% of HUD median family income.

Notes:

• Scroll to the left/right up down in the embedded version to see the full worksheet.
• In the Excel workbook, the occupation link in left column is active, clicking will provide MUCH more detail for that occupation, including current job openings in that occupation.
• File is set up in landscape mode with legal paper size; printed document runs 22 pages.
• Occupations are listed in descending order of the projected number of annual job openings.

Excel table with that data is HERE, and also embedded below.



Originally created and posted on the Oregon Housing Blog.

Clackamas County Housing Needs: 2 Out of Every 3 Job Openings from 2010-2020 Were Projected For Jobs Where Average Pay is Less than 60% of HUD Median Family Income.

I recently did a post HERE that took a look at how wages at the new Wal-Mart in Lake Oswego compare to HUD fair market rents and to HUD median family incomes. 

I decided to expand that to take a look at all industries and occupations in Clackamas County to see how wages for those jobs compared to the 60% of median family income eligibility standard used for tax credit projects. 

Fortunately, Oregon's Employment Department has a website where 2010 average salaries and employment and projected 2010-2020 job gains by area and occupations can be downloaded by geographic region, albeit with a tedious copy and paste process.  

Ever the glutton for punishment, I downloaded data for more than 650 occupations /136,000+ jobs for Clackamas County and created the Excel workbook on my SkyDrive HERE. (and embedded below).

The workbook shows by occupation, the number of 2010 jobs, the projected annual change in jobs 2010-2020, the average 2010 salary, and a % comparison of that wage to the HUD 2010 Portland MFI of $71,200. 

Observations: 

1. In 2010, 62% of jobs in Clackamas County had average wages of 60% or less of 2010 HUD Median Family Income. 
2. From 2010-2020 of the 6,451 projected annual job openings (new jobs or replacement of current workers)  4,258 (66%) will be for jobs that had 2010 average wages at or below 60% of HUD median family income.

Notes: 

• Scroll to the left/right up down in the embedded version to see the full worksheet.
•  In the Excel workbook, the occupation link in left column is active, clicking will provide MUCH more detail for that occupation, including current job openings in that occupation.
• File is set up in landscape mode with legal paper size; printed document runs 30 pages. 

 
Originally created and posted on the Oregon Housing Blog.

Walmart Jobs/Income vs Lake Oswego Rents: Avg Wages At 31% MFI; $573 Affordable Rent FAR Below HUD $1,003 Rental Payment Standard.

The new mini Walmart in Lake Oswego is scheduled to open one month from now on October 24th. News stories have indicated that there will be up to 90 jobs at the new store, which is similar in configuration to a previously opened store in West Linn. 

I thought it would be useful to see whether these jobs paid enough to make Lake Oswego and West Linn rents affordable.

In the Excel table HERE and embedded below you will find a table that uses Walmart hourly wage rates from more than 2,600 wage reports made on the Pay Scale website. 

The table is sorted so the job categories with the highest number of wage reports (likely represented the most frequently occurring jobs) are at the top of the table. The affordable rent level that I used is the $1,003 HUD 2 BR voucher payment standard that I believe will be used for Lake Oswego and West Linn zip codes as of October 1st. (This is actually $108 LESS than the $1,111 Lake Oswego median gross rent reported  for the 2008-2010 ACS).

Observations: 

1. Out of 2,600+ wage reports, there were only 26 reports (1%) where monthly income was high enough so that the worker would NOT pay 30% or more of their income for Lake Oswego/West Linn rent. Those job were pharmacists, store managers, optical store managers, and maintenance technicians.
2. The weighted average Walmart job from these reports paid $11.02 per hour, or $22,915 per year. That is equivalent to 31% of the Portland Metro MFI of $73,000.
3. Using this weighted average pay, the average full time Walmart worker from these reports would pay 53% of their income for rent. (Note that not all Walmart workers are full time).
4. There is no definitive way to know exact wages for Walmart jobs by occupation in Lake Oswego, but I think this data provides a useful, and sobering, frame of reference for retail wage rates in this economy. (Walmart says that it's average wage for ALL full time associates in Oregon for all occupations as of July 2012 was $13.04, $27,123 per year, or 37% of MFI. It's not clear if this is a weighted average by the number of jobs or not).
5. In Clackamas county as of July 2012, retail (16,900) trailed only educational and health services (19,000) as the industry with the highest number of employees.
6. Readers may recall that I have previously posted in May 2011 HERE an Excel workbook that allows side by side comparison of a wide variety of wages for different occupations vs rents for ALL Oregon metro areas.

Embedded Excel File:


Originally created and posted on the Oregon Housing Blog. 

Geography of Manufacturing Jobs: Portland Metro #17 in Number of Manufacturing Jobs in US Metro Areas.

Brooking web page for this analysis is HERE.

The Portland Metro profile in one page PDF file is HERE. It indicates that:

1. Portland metro manufacturing job loss was nearly 26% from 2000-2010 and manufacturing jobs were 10.6% of all jobs in 2010.
2. Yet the ratio of manufacturing employment/jobs to all employment/jobs was 25% higher in 2010 than the national average; In 1980, the Portland ratio was only 6% higher than the national average. 
3. The average Portland Metro manufacturing wage of $48,810 in 2010 was higher than the national average.

Originally created and posted on the Oregon Housing Blog.

Fair Housing Council Has Two Job Vacancies.

As requested by FHCO: 

The Fair Housing Council of Oregon & SW Washington has two new positions opening up this week:

Intake Specialist (Advocate/Investigator) : http://www.fhco.org/pdfs/Intake07212011.pdf

Education and Outreach Assistant  :   http://www.fhco.org/pdfs/EOAdminAssistant07252011.pdf

Originally created and posted on the Oregon Housing Blog.

Carpentry Jobs Not Recovering; In Oregon Only 23 Annual NEW Carpentry Job Openings Projected from 2008-2018.

WaPo story is HERE.

That got me thinking so I went in to the Oregon Labor Market Information website and with the search HERE I created table below.

It shows that ANNUALLY from 2008-2018 the projection is that there will only be 23 carpenter job openings for NEW jobs each year, with another 171 annual job REPLACEMENT openings; this means the TOTAL 10 YEAR statewide growth in carpentry jobs is only 227! (Note that table shows statewide total, but search link above ALSO includes regional numbers).

Measurement	Statewide
2008 Employment	13,637
2018 Employment	13,864
Total Change	227
10 YR Total Change	1.70%
Annual Growth Change	23
Annual Replacement Change	171
Total Annual Change	194

Orginally created and posted on the Oregon Housing Blog.

Oregon 4th Qtr Recovery Act Jobs: 9,657 Jobs Include 98 Jobs from HUD Recovery Programs.

I have created a new OREGON only Excel workbook HERE that includes Recovery Act jobs and spending information, including a breakout of HUD data.Take a look at the READ ME workbook to see full content and sources; note that the data is for 4th quarter ONLY.

The workbook has a summary for Oregon HUD Recovery Act jobs (and spending) and Pivot Tables for both HUD and ALL agencies allow you to display the jobs (and spending data) in an infinite number of ways.

Caution: My JOB Totals Match Recovery Act State Tables, But Funding Awards and Funds Received are Different.
Since I downloaded data directly from Recovery.gov website not sure why some of my totals for funding awards and funds received for Oregon are different than the totals for Oregon that appear in Recovery website state tables HERE ,HERE, and [Oregon] HERE. The differences are shown in the table below:

	Jobs	Funds Awarded	Funds Received
Recovery State Tables	9,657	$2,206,515,742	$ 757,128,580
Oregon Housing Blog	9,657	$3,040,810,288	$ 737,645,600

My take is that I have the data that adds to the totals I am using, but don't have the data that adds to the totals awards and funds received that appear in the state Recovery website tables.

At any rate, the JOBS information IS exactly the same in my Excel database and the Recovery website state tables, and if you really want to look closely at spending you can download ALL spending data from usaspending.gov website. (If I figure out differences later I will update this post).

Originally created and posted on the Oregon Housing Blog.

Jobs Bill Severed from Defense Appropriations Action this Week, Moves to Slow Track.

So says The Hill story HERE; means that Housing Trust and Public Housing Capital Grant funding will be on a much slower track, and may indeed not pass at all in the Senate,

Originally created and posted on the Oregon Housing Blog.

Local Spotlight from Sunlight Foundation Highlights Our Excel Recovery Jobs Database.

File under "shameless promotion".

Sunlight foundation Local Spotlight blog post is HERE.

Originally created and posted on the Oregon Housing Blog.

Quick Post: Oregon Grantees Reporting 200 Jobs Created or Saved from HUD Recovery Grants.

Originally created and posted on the Oregon Housing Blog.

Recovery jobs information is starting to finally get released, late this PM.

My quick analysis (more to follow at end of weekend). HUD grantees have reported the creation of 200 jobs in Oregon using Recovery Act funding. ALL agencies are reporting more than 9,000 jobs in Oregon resulting from Recovery Act GRANTS. (Other jobs are being reported from contracting and from loans, so this is focused ONLY on GRANTEE reported jobs).

You can take a look at Recovery.gov website yourself to see other ways of looking at recovery funding and job creation.

This is subject to REVISION /CLARIFICATION once I get a closer look (RVM data looks high) but by grant recipient this is what I am seeing as of the moment for HUD grantee reported jobs created and saved with Recovery funding:

Grant Recipient	Jobs
Grand Total	202.73
ASHLAND, CITY OF	0
BEAVERTON, CITY OF	0
BEND, CITY OF	0
BURNS PAIUTE TRIBE	1.4
CASCADIA BEHAVIORAL HEALTHCARE, INC.	0
CEDAR SINAI PARK-CLAY TOWER APARTMENTS LIMITED PARTNERSHIP	8
CENTRAL OREGON REGIONAL HOUSING AUTHORITY	0
CHIEF TYEE LLC	1
CITY OF MEDFORD	0
City of Salem	0
CLACKAMAS, COUNTY OF	0
CONFEDERATED TRIBES OF COOS, LOWER UMPQUA AND SIUSLAW INDIAN	4
CONFEDERATED TRIBES OF GRAND RONDE INDIANS,THE	0
CONFEDERATED TRIBES OF SILETZ INDIANS, THE	0
COOS CURRY HOUSING AUTHORITY	10
COQUILLE INDIAN HOUSING AUTHORITY	0
CORVALLIS, CITY OF	1.58
County of Multnomah	1.26
County of Washington	2
COW CREEK BAND OF INDIANS	0
EUGENE, CITY OF	0
EVERGREEN UNION RETIREMENT ASSOCIATION	12
GRAND MANAGEMENT SERVICES	2
GRAND RONDE TRIBAL HOUSING AUTHORITY, THE	0
GRESHAM CITY SEARCH	1
GUARDIAN MANAGEMENT LLC	2.26
HOUSING & COMMUNITY SERVICES, OREGON DEPARTMENT OF	0
HOUSING AUTHORITY & COMMUNITY SERVICE AGENCY OF LANE COUNTY	1.93
HOUSING AUTHORITY OF DOUGLAS COUNTY	27.5
HOUSING AUTHORITY OF MALHEUR COUNTY	0
HOUSING AUTHORITY OF POLK COUNTY	1.61
HOUSING AUTHORITY OF PORTLAND, INC.	26.8
HOUSING AUTHORITY OF THE CITY OF SALEM	1.5
HOUSING AUTHORITY OF THE COUNTY OF UMATILLA, OREGON	0
HOUSING AUTHORITY OF WASHINGTON COUNTY	1.5
HOUSING AUTHORITY OF YAMHILL COUNTY	0
JULIA ANN LLC	1
KIMIWA, INC.	3
KLAMATH HOUSING AUTHORITY	1.49
KLAMATH TRIBE	2.5
LINCOLN, COUNTY OF	2
MARION COUNTY HOUSING AUTHORITY	9
NORTH BEND CITY HOUSING AUTHORITY	6
OREGON BUSINESS DEVELOPMENT DEPARTMENT	0
PARK MANOR APARTMENTS LLC	3
PORTLAND, CITY OF	0
RIVERSIDE MANOR INC	0
RVM ASHLAND HOUSING CORPORATION	17
RVM EAGLE POINT HOUSING CORPORATION	10
RVM HOUSING CORPORATION	22
SPECIALIZED HOUSING, INC. I	0
SPRINGFIELD, CITY OF	7.4
TETON NON-PROFIT HOUSING CORPORATION	0
TRILLIUM CANDALARIA AFFORDABLE HOUSING, LLC	0
UMATILLA RESERVATION HOUSING AUTHORITY LIMITED	10
UMPQUA COMMUNITY DEVELOPMENT CORP	1
WARM SPRINGS HOUSING	0
Grand Total	202.73

Full Recovery Jobs Data to be Released on Oct.30th: Could Show One Million Jobs Saved or Created?

Salt Lake Tribune News story HERE.

1 million figure would be 30+X times the 30,000 jobs figure released in last couple of days; that smaller job count is ONLY from Federal contractors, and NOT grantees.

Originally created and posted on the Oregon Housing Blog.

Oct 11 Recovery Act Jobs Reporting To Be Made Public: HUD Issues Guidance to Grantees.

New Recovery Act reporting requirements will be kicking in soon with the goal of making that new reporting available to the public on October 11th.

While problems with data quality are likely as new reporting begins, there is a concerted effort made to standardize job reporting required as part of this new wave of Recovery Act reporting.

While OMB is the final word on Recovery Act reporting (including jobs), HUD has issued additional jobs counting guidance to HUD grantees HERE. That guidance makes clear that ONLY direct jobs are to be reported, and NOT "induced" or "indirect" jobs.

Originally created and posted on the Oregon Housing Blog.

Boston Creates $70 Million HUD Backed Loan Pool To Help Create 2,000 Jobs.

Boston Globe story is HERE. Program uses HUD Section 108 loan authority.

The US Department of Housing and Urban Development said it is approving a $69.7 million loan guarantee to the city of Boston that will create a revolving loan pool that aims to kick-start stalled real estate development projects and stimulate the hiring of nearly 2,000 full-time workers

Originally created and posted on the Oregon Housing Blog.

City of Portland Economic Stimulus Initiative Documents Includes Housing.

Mayor Adams's PR on Economic Stimulus Initiatives is HERE. (My guess is that program will soon be shorthanded as "ESI".)

Portland Tribune story is HERE. Much of money is bond financing, not direct dollars.

Best I can tell, $503 million in story does NOT include $880 million requested from feds, although suspect that at least some projects will be contingent upon receiving other funds, and investors willing to purchase bonds).

Outline of elements of the plan is HERE. (Pg.2 and 3 have housing initiatives, including previously announced foreclosure $$ from HUD Neighborhood Stabilization Program).

Capital Improvement Projects are found HERE.

• Pg.6 shows $53 Million for Veterans housing project, projected to create 150 jobs;
• A Housing Authority of Portland downtown Resource Center on page 2 is projected at $48 million, with 125 jobs, contingent upon finding other resources).

My earlier post with Excel listing of "shovel ready" Oregon projects from U.S. Conference of Mayors is HERE.